100 Closest NEO Approaches for 2040 — The Asteroid News

Asteroids follow predictable orbits governed by well–understood celestial mechanics. The “known” orbit of an asteroid is determined by calculating the ellipse around the Sun that “best” places the object in the sky where it was observed. Astronomers adjust the orbital elements until the asteroid’s postdicted positions “align” with its observed positions. There is no such thing as a perfectly “known” orbit. As additional observations are collected, the orbit is refined, increasing confidence in both postdicting the object’s past positions and predicting its future positions. Postdiction allows precovery searches, in which older astronomical images are examined to detect the object at dates prior to its official discovery.

Near–Earth objects can sometimes pass relatively close to Earth as they orbit the Sun. However, “close” in astronomical terms still often means millions, or even tens of millions, of kilometers. To put these encounters into proper context, our NEO close approach tables list recorded, postdicted, or predicted close approaches of known NEOs. Distances are shown in multiple units: astronomical units (AU), lunar distances (LD), kilometers, and Earth radii to help illustrate the true scale of these flybys. Inclusion in this list does not necessarily imply an impact threat; it reflects orbital geometry and well–understood celestial mechanics.

The raw data for this web page is from the The JPL Center for NEO Studies (CNEOS) and was pulled from the API  webpage coding  was done with the aid of Chatgpt under the guidance of webmaster.

Why Earth Radii is a Better Yardstick for Close Approaches? Kilometers answers the question “how far in absolute terms.” However, Earth Radii is better at answering the question “how close relative to Earth.” Therefore, we are using Earth Radii For close-approaches context, we believe the relative distance is a meaningful measure.