JWST Schedules Observation of 2024 YR4 – Feb 18, 2026

Artist's concept of a near-Earth object. Image: Courtesy NASA/JPL-Caltech

Artist's concept of a near-Earth object. Image: Courtesy NASA/JPL-Caltech

The James Webb Space Telescope observing schedule for the upcoming week has been released. Two planned observations of asteroid 2024 YR4 are scheduled for February 18, 2026, at 07:30 UTC. This observation is identified as Visit ID 9441:1:1.
Identification & Risk Status
Object(2024 YR4)
Orbit TypeApollo (Near-Earth Object)
Approximate Diameter~54–60 meters
On NASA Sentry Risk TableYes
Torino Scale (current maximum)0 (was 3 in Jan 2025)
Palermo Scale (maximum)-4.21
Palermo Scale (cumulative)-4.21
On NEODyS/CLOMON2 Risk PageYes
Torino Scale (NEODyS)0
Palermo Scale (NEODyS solutions)-5.94 / -4.40
IAWN Final AssessmentNo significant impact potential for the next century (Feb 24, 2025)
Goldstone Radar SchedulePlanned Dec 2032 (Closest Approach ~0.0018 au)
Discovery & Observations
Discovery Date27 December 2024
Discovery SiteATLAS Chile, Rio Hurtado
Earliest Observation (Precovery)25 December 2024
Last Published Observation11 May 2025
Optical Observations (published)504
Oppositions1
Observation Arc~138 days
Observatories Reporting~60+
Orbital Elements (JPL SBDB Solution)
EpochJD 2461000.5 (2025-Nov-21.0 TDB)
Uncertainty Parameter (MPC)4
Semimajor Axis (a)2.51584 AU
Eccentricity (e)0.66147
Inclination (i)3.408°
Longitude of Ascending Node (Ω)271.364°
Argument of Perihelion (ω)134.366°
Perihelion Distance (q)0.85168 AU
Aphelion Distance (Q)4.180 AU
Orbital Period (sidereal)1457.55 days (3.99 years)
Mean Motion0.24699°/day
Mean Anomaly89.807°
Earth MOID0.00280 AU
Jupiter MOID1.271 AU
Physical Characteristics
Absolute Magnitude (H)23.9
Geometric Albedo (estimated)~0.15–0.18 (model-dependent)
Spectral TypeS-type (most likely); R- or Sa-type also consistent
Rotation Period19.4634 ± 0.0003 minutes

Data compiled from NASA JPL SBDB, CNEOS Sentry, NEODyS-2, ESA NEO Coordination Centre, and the IAU Minor Planet Center.

Research Papers on 2024 YR4

Atchison, J. A., Cascioli, G., Pedros-Faura, A., et al. 2026, Operational mass measurement for flyby reconnaissance missions of potentially hazardous asteroid, arXiv e-prints, arXiv:2602.10040, doi:10.48550/arXiv.2602.10040
Bull, R., Vavrina, M. A., Lyzhoft, J., et al. 2026, Retasking in-flight spacecraft for rapid response reconnaissance in planetary defense exercises, Acta Astronautica, 239, 184-193, doi:10.1016/j.actaastro.2025.11.001
Buys, M. & Hanner, C. 2026, Refining asteroid mass uncertainty via volume, and bulk density constraints for optimal flyby mission design, Acta Astronautica, 239, 89-96, doi:10.1016/j.actaastro.2025.10.070
He, Y., Wu, Y., Jiao, Y., et al. 2026, Observation timelines for the potential Lunar impact of asteroid 2024 YR4, arXiv e-prints, arXiv:2601.10666, doi:10.48550/arXiv.2601.10666
Micheli, M., Devogèle, M., Denneau, L., et al. 2026, Astrometric follow-up of near-earth asteroid 2024 YR4 during a Torino scale level 3 alert, arXiv e-prints, arXiv:2602.06890, ADS
Micheli, M., Devogèle, M., Denneau, L., et al. 2026, Astrometric follow-up of Near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 during a Torino scale level 3 alert, Journal of the Astronautical Sciences, 73, 8, doi:10.1007/s40295-025-00541-3
Müller, T. G., Conversi, L., Licandro, J., et al. 2026, Possibilities and limitations of thermal infrared detections of the Chelyabinsk progenitor and 2024 YR4 before Earth encounters, Acta Astronautica, 240, 917-920, doi:10.1016/j.actaastro.2025.11.052
Barbee, B. W., Vavrina, M. A., Bull, R., et al. 2025, Space mission options for reconnaissance and mitigation of asteroid 2024 YR4, arXiv e-prints, arXiv:2509.12351, doi:10.48550/arXiv.2509.12351
Baturin, A. P. 2025, Constructing an initial confidence region far from the observational ARC and estimating the probability of an asteroid impact with the Earth, Solar System Research, 59, 78, doi:10.1134/S0038094625600246
Betzler, A. S. & Sousa, O. F. 2025, Spectral diversity on (7) iris and (10) hygiea revealed by broadband colors, Astronomische Nachrichten, 346, e70054, doi:10.1002/asna.70054
Bolin, B. T., Hanuš, J., Denneau, L., et al. 2025, The discovery and characterization of earth-crossing asteroid 2024 YR4, ApJL, 984, L25, doi:10.3847/2041-8213/adc910
Bourdelle de Micas, J., Dotto, E., Ieva, S., et al. 2025, NEOPOPS - spectroscopy for planetary defense, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1614, doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1614
Cannon, R., Rożek, A., Snodgrass, C., et al. 2025, Shape modelling contact binaries 2024 ON and 2000 RS11 with ground-based radar, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1068, doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1068
Conversi, L., Licandro, J., Delbo, M., et al. 2025, NEOMIR: project statut of esa's space-based infrared mission for NEO detection and early warning, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1329, doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1329
de la Fuente Marcos, C. & de la Fuente Marcos, R. 2025, Is virtual impactor 2024 YR4 related to the porangaba meteorite fall?, Research Notes of the American Astronomical Society, 9, 41, doi:10.3847/2515-5172/adb60e
Devogele, M., Micheli, M., Hainaut, O., et al. 2025, Coordinated planetary defence in action: colors and lightcurve of asteroid 2024 YR4, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1302, doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1302
Devogèle, M., Hainaut, O. R., Micheli, M., et al. 2025, Rapid-response characterization of near-earth asteroid 2024 YR4 during a Torino scale 3 alert, arXiv e-prints, arXiv:2511.09405, doi:10.48550/arXiv.2511.09405
Devyatkin, A. V., Gorshanov, D. L., Petrova, S. N., et al. 2025, Investigations of near Earth asteroids using observations of pulkovo observatory telescopes, INASAN Science Reports, 10, 43-50, doi:10.51194/INASAN.2025.10.2.003
Elango, S. & Loeb, A. 2025, Astrometric parallax measurements with JWST for localization of Near-Earth objects, arXiv e-prints, arXiv:2504.04003, doi:10.48550/arXiv.2504.04003
Faggioli, L., Fenucci, M., Gianotto, F., et al. 2025, Coordinated planetary defence in action: orbit determination and impact monitoring of asteroid 2024 YR4, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1364, doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1364
Hensley, K. 2025, An update on asteroid 2024 YR4 from JWST, 13552, ADS
Hensley, K. 2025, Monthly roundup: preparing for a potential impact, 13167, ADS
Hibberd, A. & Eubanks, T. M. 2025, Preliminary analysis into the feasibility of missions to asteroid 2024 YR4, arXiv e-prints, arXiv:2502.19346, doi:10.48550/arXiv.2502.19346
JeongAhn, Y., Kim, P., Kim, M., et al. 2025, Exploring a kinetic impact mission to asteroid 2024 YR4, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1358, doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1358
Jiao, Y., Cheng, B., & Baoyin, H. 2025, Probing the Moon from future asteroid impacts: a review, arXiv e-prints, arXiv:2509.01436, doi:10.48550/arXiv.2509.01436
MacLennan, E., Pravec, P., Devogele, M., et al. 2025, Shape and spin properties of 2024 YR4 from multi-filter lightcurve observations, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1689, doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1689
Micheli, M. 2025, Coordinated planetary defence in action: astrometric follow-up of asteroid 2024 YR4, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-939, doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-939
Müller, T., MacLennan, E., Holler, B., et al. 2025, A thermophysical model study for 2024 YR4 based on JWST/MIRI measurements, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-934, doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-934
Rivkin, A., MacLennan, E., Holler, B., et al. 2025, JWST as a planetary defense asset: the case of 2024 YR4, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1252, doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1252
Rivkin, A. S., Mueller, T., MacLennan, E., et al. 2025, JWST observations of potentially hazardous asteroid 2024 YR4, Research Notes of the American Astronomical Society, 9, 70, doi:10.3847/2515-5172/adc6f0
Rivkin, A. S., Conversi, L., Devogele, M., et al. 2025, Size measurements of a potential earth-impacting asteroid with JWST MIRI and NIRCAM, 9239, ADS
Smirnov, E. A. 2025, Chaotic diffusion and transient resonance captures of the near-earth asteroid 2024 YR4, A A, 699, A26, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/202554489
Vavilov, D., Liu, Z., & Hestroffer, D. 2025, Reweighting the observations: a simple fix for 2024 YR4 orbit precision and impact probability, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1104, doi:10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1104
Wiegert, P., Brown, P., Lopes, J., et al. 2025, The potential danger to satellites due to ejecta from a 2032 Lunar impact by asteroid 2024 YR4, ApJL, 990, L20, doi:10.3847/2041-8213/adfa8b